Melisa Ercan vs Rinko Matsuda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Matsuda's second serve has been slightly stronger recently, winning 39.62% of points compared to Ercan's 35.76%. Could this give Matsuda an edge in service games?
• When returning second serves, Ercan outperforms Matsuda, winning 54.42% of points versus Matsuda's 47.38%. This might suggest Ercan has a stronger return game.
• For first serve returns, Matsuda is narrowly ahead, winning 34.12% compared to Ercan's 33.8%.
• Both players show similar abilities to save breakpoints, with Matsuda at 48.33% and Ercan at 48.46%.
• In terms of overall match wins in the last year, Matsuda has a slight advantage with a 53.7% success rate, while Ercan has achieved a 48.57% win rate.
• Matsuda excels on clay with a 61% win rate, whereas Ercan is strongest on grass, holding a 71% win percentage.
• Both players often compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with Matsuda winning 50% and Ercan closely behind at 48.15%.
• Facing tougher competition, Matsuda's opponents average a rank of 385.61, better than Ercan's average opponent ranking of 426.86.
• In deciding sets, Matsuda has shown resilience, winning 56% of such sets, significantly higher than Ercan's 36% success rate.
• Matsuda also has a minor advantage in converting breakpoints, at 39.74% versus Ercan's 38.3%.

Editorial Prediction (July 23, 2025, UTC):

As both players prepare for this upcoming match, the stats reveal some interesting insights that point towards a competitive encounter. Matsuda's stronger second serve performance and slightly better breakpoint conversion percentage could provide a marginal edge during critical moments. His experience against tougher opponents and higher win rate over the past year also suggest he might handle pressure situations effectively.

On the other hand, Ercan shows a robust return game, especially on second serves where he outshines Matsuda. Despite playing lower-ranked opponents on average, his adaptability on grass surfaces could be pivotal if the match conditions favor such play.

Given Matsuda's demonstrated prowess in deciding sets and overall slightly superior recent form, he appears to be the more likely winner in this matchup.